Comments on the EGOproject:

NEW: June 2005:

The EgoProject Website of Tom de Booij

A few weeks ago I received an email from a true veteran geologist out of the Netherlands named Tom de Booij, and my conscience has been nagging at me ever since to reference his work here on the weblog.

As people are initially introduced to the concept of Peak Oil, there is inevitably a moment where we naturally wonder why this issue is "suddenly" coming up--more especially because the "peak" date seems to be already upon us. And in people of a more critical bent, this raises a suspicion that the Peak Oil argument itself may be nothing more than a "disinformation" campaign for certain purposes...which is understandable, since so much of the research in this area is so recent.

But of course, both the concept and even the predictions of a peak in hydrocarbon resources have been around for decades--even centuries if we allow for certain purely theoretical evidence.

And that's where Tom de Booij fits in. As he was kind enough to share with me, he has been a working geologist for about 80 years now, and has been recognizing the advent of fossil-fuel depletion for several decades. Most of his work since the 1960's has involved teaching--more specifically, establishing a new method of teaching, one which emphasizes a more holistic approach which is needed for a true understanding of critical resource depletion issues. With the rise of the internet, he even established a website in 1999 to publish his research, theories and evidence, in an attempt to give a voice to something which was, for all practical purposes, completely unrecognized at that time. The site has only briefly been updated since that time--just this past May--so it is a kind of time-capsule of early Peak warnings. As he wrote in the email, "I updated this site after six years. Things are more serious than 6 years ago, we are on the brink of a major crisis. My neighbors and family do not realize this. But they will wake up when there is not anymore gasoline at the petrolstation."

From his Egoproject website:

"As a teacher in geology I started at 8.30 a.m. Monday 28th of April 1969 in my room in the Geological Institute of the University of Amsterdam with an experimental form of geological education. Everyone who was interested was welcome. (The translation of Experimental Geological Education in Dutch is Experimenteel Geologisch Onderwijs, the EGO PROJECT).

I wanted to teach my students Geopolitics: the political, economical and social consequences of the uneven distribution of fossil-resources on Earth. The first object was to dismiss the patriarchal relation: teacher-student. Everybody who came in my room was immediately co-worker of the EGO project. The central issue was to create an awareness of the role geology could play in our society. The first subject was the role of petroleum."

"EGO organized a number of geological excursions to Germany, Southern France and Corsica. My invitation to participate in an excursion was quite unconventional. The invitation for the excursion for Corsica was like this:

"Geological commune. "Rendez-vous" between six and eight o'clock Sunday evening 19th of August 1969 in Galeria, Corsica. Every one who is interested is welcome". At the meeting point arrived four of my students.

...The next planned invitation in 1970 was to Iran: "Rendez-vous Thursday afternoon 2 o'clock first of October 1970 on the square before the railway station in Teheran". The main purpose was to study the role petroleum exploration and production plays in Iran. Unfortunately, this excursion has never taken place. The reason is quite simple: the University of Amsterdam did not permit me anymore to teach this new form of geological education. I had to leave the University December 1, 1970.

They gave me the opportunity to present my farewell lecture "Where is our Earth heading to".

In this lecture, I stressed the fact that the gap between the rich and the poor people on earth is steadily increasing.

"Mankind has tried through all times to extract various mineral resources from the Earth, in order to stay alive. It seems now as if these same resources threaten his existence. The righteous distribution of these resources has completely failed. This has led and will lead to murder and homicide." My conclusion was "Our government policy is directed to uphold a system that leads - with mathematical certainty - toward our downfall".

So I left the University and continued to work on the EGO project. To memorize [sic. - "memorialize"?] that it is thirty years ago that I started with the EGO project I will make a journey around the world in 58 days. The 28th of April 1999 I will be on the Easter Island in the middle of the Pacific Ocean. I have chosen this Island, because it is an excellent metaphor for the future of our planet. When the inhabitants cut the last tree on this island, the only food that remained was human flesh….There was no place to go. Will this be our future on earth? We do not have a place to go, when the last unit of non-renewable energy is used.

After this visit to our future perspective, I will continue my journey to go to places on earth where people still live as gatherers and hunters. They lived for thousands of years in a sustainable economy, because they used only renewable energy resources. They respect nature, with no social hierarchy and private ownership of land. Maybe this is the only way we can survive on this planet. However we have passed the point of no return, we are living in a non-sustainable society with an exponential growth of the world population. There is no way back, we lost the capability to survive under such conditions."

Also make sure to check out his "Links" page, which has a wealth of references and information, not to mention his rather interesting and enviable biography.

Posted by Steven Lagavulin on June 30, 2005

Comments in 1999:

Albert Bartlett (professor in physics, University of Colorado) (bartleta@stripe.colorado.edu)

Thanks so much for your writing on sustainability. It would seem that the people on Easter Island have established a sustainable society out of the necessity of their circumstances. We can probably learn from them. Your book looks to be comprehensive and very thoughtful.

Roger Blanchard (associate professor in chemistry, Northern Kentucky University) (blanchard@NKU.EDU)

It is nice to hear from you. I have something that you might be interested in posting on your website. I've just completed a paper entitled "Depletion Rates of Major North Sea Oil Fields."

Richard Duncan (Institute on Energy and Man, Seattle) (duncanrc@halcyon.com)

Thanks for your itinerary information. An ambitious, and worthwhile, journey indeed. A bit like Darwin’s, 1832-1837. From 1981 to 1992 I journeyed to some 5o countries. (…) My goal was to see for my self , first hand, what prospects are for global industrialization, a la ‘USA’ style. Bottom Line Finding: Near zero (0)! This conclusion is defined by the Olduvai theory.

Tommy Dye jr. (tgdye@c-gate.net)
Very interesting web page I hope you continue your work.

Jay Hanson (journalist, Hawaii) (j@qmail.com)

I just took a quick look. My first impression is that you have put together a lot of excellent information -- quite a few things I didn't know. I am trying to finish a project against a deadline right now, but expect to be able to return in a couple of weeks and read the entire site. Thanks for all your hard work,

Craig Bond Hatfield (emeritus professor in geology University of Toledo)(chatfie@geology.utoledo.edu)

I enjoyed reading it, and I am impressed with its breath and depth. I think that this work should be published in a widely-read outlet. It will have to be carefully edited for this, because of somewhat awkward writing, which, I assume, merely reflects that English is not your first tongue. Your work is nevertheless clear, strong and very important.

I continue to hope that the work by the few of us who are concerned with future energy supply can inspire industry and governments to plan for the coming oil crisis via accelerated research on and development of alternative energy sources as well as via more efficient use of conventional oil fuels. But time is getting short , and society is not very receptive to the concept of finite natural resources and all that it implies.

Andy Homer (savage@easy.net.co.uk )

There is far too much analysis out there of what is wrong with the world. Much of it is very well researched, often containing information I was unaware of. It is all very interesting but where it nearly always falls down is in the analysis of what needs to happen for the situation to improve. These analyses range from the very complex descriptions of remedial measures, via extremely deep explanations of some leading-edge science and technology (so much so that I often forget the purpose of the discourse--as it seems the author has too), through various levels of alternative ways of extending the life of civilization, down to the downright stupid (e.g. zero-point energy).
Only very rarely does someone capable a decent analysis of the situation seem to be able read through their own work or understand what they themselves have written before suggesting solutions. I can't describe how pleased I was to see your conclusions. In fact there was only one short sentence that could be called a proposal for a solution: 'We must leave our homes, our cars, our factories and all our luxury we have worked so hard for."
Perfect. Why make it more complex than it already is? I would love to be able to keep all the toys of technology, and the lazy lifestyle it engenders, but I realize that it is no possible.

Jean Laherrere (oil geologist. Advisor Petroconsultants, Geneva) (j.h.laherrere@infonie.fr)

I have finished reading your paper and I wrote a lot of notes on the sides. It is fascinating and complete. I will send my comments soon to you. It should be constantly improved and kept up to date. I believe that it should be read by all geologists and I asked my friend Alain Perrodon (who wrote many books and papers) to write a review of your paper in Geochronique magazine of the Societe Geologique de France where he is a active writer. At my request he did the review of Walter Youngquist's book "Geodestinies" few months ago.

Matthias Nolting (Berlin) (bolo@mythos.in-berlin.de)

Indeed an interesting survey about our evident upcoming crisis. Why is it named egoproject? Because it is anthropocentric? Since mankind is dominating earth's nature in such an effective way, the center of the problem is "we". The problems are clear, technically we will not basically solve it, just find small solutions, but it will be hard to bring down overpopulation and profit maximized exploitation. With a profit driven effectively the propulsion of
worlds exploitation will continue until it reaches our gardens, our homes, ourselves. Imagine a huge vehicle. Its heavy rollers squeeze everything on its way. Economy efficiency is the motor and poverty is the slope that becomes exponentially steeper. Some are enjoying the speed, some jump off, some have fallen down, some try to break with their fingernails... But everyone has the idea of a sudden stop.

David Pimentel (professor in agriculture, Cornell University) (dp18@cornell.edu)

Thank you very much for your letter and copy of your work on WHERE IS OUR PLANET EARTH HEADING TO IN THE NEXT CENTURY? I feel that you have produced an outstanding book and I hope that it is widely read throughout the world. I feel that your section on world oil is extremely well done. When we run out of oil, the impact on the world agriculture and all other aspects of society will be catastrophic. If you have not seen it, the book by Walter Youngquist on GEODESTINIES is excellent. Your section on world food is very good. One number that I did not see was the recent World Health Organization report (1996) indicating that more than 3 billion people are alnourished worldwide. This is the largest number and proportion ever. Again, thank you very much for sharing your work with me.

Richard Reese (rreese@mail.portup.com)

It's so funny -- you care deeply about the Earth and future generations, you devote years to study, you make astonishing discoveries -- and nobody wants to hear about them, and everybody resents you for talking about them. Hee! Hee! You develop a deep appreciation for the stunning stupidity of the citizens of industrial civilization.

I think that we should respond with celebration! Imagine if there had been ten times more oil, gas, and coal -- the population explosion would continue, the destruction of ecosystems and species would continue, and the result at the end of the game would be a complete horror. It is so wonderful that civilization will end before the birds are all gone, before the trees are extinct, before all of the fish have been eaten. Rejoice!

We have lived like complete monsters, and soon we will pay the price. That is fair and right.

In all of your studies, have you ever read of a culture more miserable and insane than our own? I haven't. What could possibly be worse than the status quo? Its passing will be a great healing -- if we can break free from the 10,000 year cycle of repeated mistakes.

Ed Renshaw (Department of Economics, University at Albany) (renshaw@csc.albany.edu)

It was nice of you to send me a copy of EGOproject, which contains a lot of valuable material and interesting quotations and reference. If there is a concerned response from other recipients of EGOproject I believe that you ought to encourage some of the younger responders to establish a collective website to monitor some of the economic and financial implications of a possible peaking out of oil production the next decade. Some brief summaries of on going research and participating home pages might be helpful to concerned citizens as well ad economic and geology professors and students.

Ron Swenson (developer renewable energy) (rbs@ecotopia.com)

You talk appropriately about the coming brick wall, but you can quantify that far better with a few facts. If anything, you are not clear enough about how serious the coming oil crisis will be in that regard. The facts are before you on our website. As Dr. Campbell says, "Of course, our numbers are wrong. *But* please tell me, BY HOW MUCH?"

Mathis Wackernagel (Ecological footprint) (wackernagel@rprogress.org)

Thank you for your email with a lot of interesting facts. Best wishes and keep up your excellent work!

John Zerzan (journalist and activist, Eugene, Orogon)

Thank you so much for EGOproject, a book that covers such a lot an a passionate and in depth way.

PS Ed Renshaw suggested me to establish a collective website of people concerned about the future of our world. Well this maybe the first step?

Please send me your suggestions, comments and e-mail addresses for the collective website to 5star@tiscali.nl